Análisis Toluca vs Necaxa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ago. 2007 |
CAZ
3 - 1
TOL
55%
25%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 1
SNL
58%
23%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2007 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 3
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 ago. 2007 |
ATS
1 - 1
TOL
44%
28%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ago. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 1
JAG
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2007 |
CAZ
3 - 0
NEC
60%
21%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 ago. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 1
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 ago. 2007 |
SNL
3 - 2
NEC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 ago. 2007 |
NEC
3 - 2
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |