Campeonato de Portugal Eliminatorias Grupo A - Descenso Jor. 8

Análisis Torcatense vs Montalegre

Torcatense Montalegre
33 ELO 37
-3.5% Tilt -13.8%
25385º Ranking ELO general 24887º
463º Ranking ELO país 410º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
38.2%
Torcatense
22.3%
Empate
39.5%
Montalegre

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
Torcatense
1.73
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.5%
Win probability
Montalegre
1.76
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO35.936.637.33838.639.34040.741.34242.743.44444.745.446.1-69.4%-55.3%-41.1%-27%-12.8%1.3%15.5%29.6%43.8%57.9%72.1%86.2%100.4%114.5%128.7%142.8%157%171.1%185.3%199.4%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

29º31º33º35º37º39ºMay .16Aug .16Nov .16Feb .17
Torcatense
Montalegre
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Torcatense
Torcatense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 mar. 2017
TOR
Torcatense
9 - 0
Torre Moncorvo
TMO
75%
15%
10%
34 12 22 0
19 mar. 2017
BRA
Braganca
1 - 0
Torcatense
TOR
63%
19%
18%
34 43 9 0
12 mar. 2017
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
2 - 0
Torcatense
TOR
66%
20%
14%
35 48 13 -1
05 mar. 2017
TOR
Torcatense
2 - 2
Camacha
CAM
45%
23%
32%
35 35 0 0
26 feb. 2017
CAN
Caniçal
2 - 3
Torcatense
TOR
24%
24%
52%
34 25 9 +1

Partidos

Montalegre
Montalegre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 mar. 2017
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
3 - 0
Montalegre
MON
61%
21%
18%
37 48 11 0
19 mar. 2017
MON
Montalegre
1 - 0
Camacha
CAM
54%
21%
25%
36 35 1 +1
12 mar. 2017
CAN
Caniçal
1 - 2
Montalegre
MON
19%
21%
61%
36 24 12 0
05 mar. 2017
MON
Montalegre
3 - 1
Pedras Rubras
PED
45%
22%
33%
34 37 3 +2
26 feb. 2017
BRA
Braganca
3 - 1
Montalegre
MON
60%
21%
19%
35 44 9 -1