Análisis UC Ceares vs Lealtad Villaviciosa

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

20.8%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.11
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%

21.6%

Empate

0-0

4.6%

1-1

10%

2-2

5.5%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

21.6%

57.6%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.98
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

-24%

+38%

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

UC Ceares

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 oct. 2003	CON 0 - 1 CEA 63% 21% 17%	0	0	0	0
19 oct. 2003	CEA 3 - 1 RIB 18% 22% 60%	0	0	0	0
12 oct. 2003	SIE 0 - 0 CEA 84% 11% 5%	0	0	0	0
05 oct. 2003	CEA 1 - 1 SMA 25% 24% 51%	0	0	0	0
28 sep. 2003	OVI 2 - 0 CEA 90% 8% 2%	0	0	0	0

Partidos

Lealtad Villaviciosa

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 oct. 2003	LEA 2 - 2 LLA 59% 23% 18%	0	0	0	0
19 oct. 2003	MOS 1 - 2 LEA 19% 24% 57%	0	0	0	0
12 oct. 2003	LEA 1 - 0 AST 42% 27% 31%	0	0	0	0
05 oct. 2003	NAI 4 - 2 LEA 24% 25% 52%	0	0	0	0
28 sep. 2003	LEA 1 - 1 SPB 28% 26% 47%	0	0	0	0