Análisis Unión Comercial vs Narcea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
31.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+43%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
COM
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
COM
68%
19%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 ene. 2009 |
TIN
3 - 0
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 2009 |
COM
2 - 1
URR
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
COM
1 - 4
HIS
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2009 |
NAR
2 - 2
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
NAR
2 - 0
HIS
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 2
NAR
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
NAR
2 - 2
TAP
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 dic. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 3
NAR
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |