Análisis Valencia vs Deportivo Alavés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2003 |
VCF
2 - 1
INT
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2003 |
VAD
1 - 0
VCF
28%
29%
44%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 abr. 2003 |
VCF
1 - 0
OSA
72%
19%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 2003 |
INT
1 - 0
VCF
48%
26%
27%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 abr. 2003 |
BET
2 - 0
VCF
30%
29%
42%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 abr. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 1
MAL
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2003 |
REC
1 - 0
ALA
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 0
MLL
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2003 |
SEV
3 - 2
ALA
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 mar. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 0
FCB
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |