Análisis Valencia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.42
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 dic. 1981 |
SEV
2 - 0
VCF
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1981 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATM
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1981 |
HKS
4 - 1
VCF
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1981 |
RSO
4 - 1
VCF
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 1981 |
VCF
3 - 0
RAC
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 dic. 1981 |
HER
0 - 1
ZAR
52%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1981 |
VAD
1 - 0
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1981 |
HER
3 - 3
SEV
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1981 |
SEV
0 - 1
HER
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1981 |
HER
0 - 1
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |