Primera División Jor. 11

Análisis Valencia vs Real Madrid

Valencia Real Madrid
72 ELO 86
5% Tilt 17.4%
96º Ranking ELO general
11º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
40.6%
Valencia
23.9%
Empate
35.5%
Real Madrid

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
40.6%
Probabilidad gana
Valencia
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.5%
Probabilidad gana
Real Madrid
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Valencia
-8%
+1%
Real Madrid

Progresión del ELO

Valencia
Real Madrid
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 ene. 1934
ATH
Athletic
6 - 2
Valencia
VCF
83%
10%
7%
72 89 17 0
31 dic. 1933
ARE
Arenas de Getxo
1 - 2
Valencia
VCF
60%
18%
22%
71 76 5 +1
24 dic. 1933
VCF
Valencia
1 - 2
Racing
RAC
43%
21%
36%
72 75 3 -1
17 dic. 1933
VCF
Valencia
1 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
42%
22%
36%
71 80 9 +1
10 dic. 1933
FCB
Barcelona
5 - 2
Valencia
VCF
72%
15%
13%
72 84 12 -1

Partidos

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 ene. 1934
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Arenas de Getxo
ARE
68%
17%
15%
86 76 10 0
31 dic. 1933
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 2
Espanyol
ESP
65%
18%
17%
86 80 6 0
24 dic. 1933
OVI
Real Oviedo
3 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
46%
23%
32%
87 71 16 -1
17 dic. 1933
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 1
Real Betis
BET
72%
16%
12%
87 74 13 0
10 dic. 1933
ATH
Athletic
5 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
73%
15%
12%
87 90 3 0