Análisis Valencia Mestalla vs Espanyol B
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 1
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 2
MHN
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
ALC
3 - 0
VAL
59%
23%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 0
UDL
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
SAB
2 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Espanyol B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
RCD
2 - 1
TER
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
LLE
2 - 2
RCD
54%
24%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
RCD
1 - 2
ONT
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2009 |
VIJ
3 - 0
RCD
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 sep. 2009 |
RCD
1 - 1
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |