Análisis Venezia vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 1960 |
REG
0 - 0
VNZ
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1960 |
VNZ
0 - 0
TAR
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1960 |
VNZ
1 - 1
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1960 |
ASS
3 - 1
VNZ
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 1960 |
VNZ
1 - 1
VER
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 1960 |
SSS
4 - 1
MES
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1960 |
MES
6 - 1
ASS
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 1960 |
MES
0 - 1
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 1960 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |