Baiano 1 Final

Global 4-3

Análisis Vitória vs Bahía

Vitória Bahía
76 ELO 64
20.7% Tilt 0.7%
188º Ranking ELO general 135º
27º Ranking ELO país 11º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
73.4%
Vitória
16.3%
Empate
10.4%
Bahía

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Vitória
2.43
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.3%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Bahía
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Vitória
-14%
+10%
Bahía

Progresión del ELO

Vitória
Bahía
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 abr. 2009
VIT
Vitória
3 - 0
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
43%
24%
33%
75 80 5 0
26 abr. 2009
BAH
Bahía
1 - 2
Vitória
VIT
35%
25%
41%
74 64 10 +1
24 abr. 2009
VIT
Vitória
3 - 1
Atlético Alagoinhas
ALA
81%
13%
7%
74 50 24 0
19 abr. 2009
ALA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1 - 2
Vitória
VIT
16%
22%
62%
74 50 24 0
16 abr. 2009
VIT
Vitória
1 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
70%
18%
12%
74 66 8 0

Partidos

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 abr. 2009
BAH
Bahía
1 - 2
Vitória
VIT
35%
25%
41%
64 74 10 0
24 abr. 2009
BAH
Bahía
3 - 1
Fluminense de Feira
FLU
69%
19%
13%
64 54 10 0
19 abr. 2009
FLU
Fluminense de Feira
1 - 2
Bahía
BAH
29%
25%
46%
63 55 8 +1
16 abr. 2009
COT
Coritiba
0 - 0
Bahía
BAH
66%
21%
13%
63 78 15 0
12 abr. 2009
BAH
Bahía
4 - 2
Itabuna
ITA
65%
19%
16%
63 50 13 0