Conmebol Sudamericana . Semifinal
Global 3-3
Análisis Nacional vs At. Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
52.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 nov. 2002 |
DEP
1 - 4
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2002 |
MWA
0 - 1
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 3
FEN
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 1
ALI
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 1
COR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
ONC
1 - 0
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 0
SFE
53%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2002 |
SWA
1 - 0
NAC
51%
23%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |