Análisis Nacional vs Plaza Colonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
52.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 2
NAC
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
PRO
72%
18%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 1
NAC
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
LFC
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2021 |
PLA
4 - 0
CSY
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 2
PLA
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 2
PEÑ
32%
29%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 ago. 2021 |
PLA
2 - 0
REN
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 ago. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 2
PLA
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |