Análisis Uruguay vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
80.5%
Probabilidad gana
3.02
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12.1%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 1947 |
PRY
4 - 2
URY
35%
21%
44%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1947 |
URY
3 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1947 |
URY
6 - 0
CHL
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 dic. 1947 |
URY
2 - 0
COL
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1947 |
BRA
3 - 2
URY
64%
17%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 1947 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHL
37%
22%
41%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 1947 |
ECU
2 - 2
BOL
51%
21%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1945 |
BRA
9 - 2
ECU
84%
10%
6%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1945 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |